Demographic Trends
General
Status and Trends in the Education of Racial and Ethnic Minorities, U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (2007)
"In 2005, Black, Hispanic, and American Indian/Alaska Native students were more likely to be eligible for the free and reduced-price lunch program than were their White and Asian/Pacific Islander peers. Black and Hispanic students were also the most likely to attend high-poverty schools (as gauged by program eligibility), while Asian/Pacific Islander students were the most likely to attend low-poverty schools."Education and Demographics (2006), Institute on Race and Poverty, University of Minnesota
While the K-12 student population in the Twin Cities is changing, many of these changes are concentrated in specific school districts. Suburbs such as Columbia Heights and Richfield have seen at least a 20 percent increase in poverty enrollment from 2001 to 2005. The ethnic and racial composition of Twin Cities schools is also detailed.National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS) (2007)
Data and information regarding the preparation for college, the transition from high school to college, college participation and completion, the transition from college to work, the benefits of higher education, and higher education finance.Demographic Changes in Minnesota and the U.S.
Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992-2022 (2008), Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education
Minnesota is poised to enter a new period characterized by much more stagnant growth or declines in the production of high school graduates. After reaching a peak in 2007-08 at 60,321, the state will see a sharp decline in the number of public high school graduates each year through 2013-14.... During the same time, the number of high school graduates is forecast to drop by nearly 5,800 (9.6 percent). Subsequently, projections indicate that production will recover, ultimately returning to the 2007-08 peak level by 2020-21. The racial/ethnic compostion of Minnesota's public high school graduating classes will continue to diversify....Minnesota's population continues to become more diverse (2006), Minnesota State Demographic Center
Minnesota’s population will continue to become more racially and ethnically diverse, according to a new report from the State Demographic Center at the Minnesota Department of Administration. Between 2005 and 2015, the nonwhite population is projected to grow 35 percent, compared to 7 percent for the white population. The Hispanic Origin population is expected to increase 47 percent.
Nonwhite and Latino populations in Minnesota continue to grow rapidly (August, 2006), State Demographic Center report
Projected Population Age 19 and Under, 2030, Atlas of Minnesota Online Edition, Center for Rural Policy and Development
The population aged 19 and under is projected to stay highest in the Twin Cities suburbs. Some rural counties, however, are projected to have a comparatively higher percent of young perople, mostly due to the presence of a college or university or a large minority population.As America Becomes More Diverse (2005), Patrick J. Kelly, National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS)
By the year 2020, the U.S. Census Bureau projects a 77% increase in the number of Hispanics, a 32% increase in African-Americans, a 69% increase in Asians, a 26% increase in Native Americans, and less than a one percentage point increase in the White population. The majority of the growth (in numbers) will occur among the populations that are the least educated.Workforce Implications
A Blueprint for 2010: Preparing Minnesota for the Age Wave (2007), Minnesota Department of Human Services
"Labor shortages are already visible in parts of Minnesota and will become more acute in the future…. Many experts are predicting growing labor shortages as boomers reach normal retirement age. Retirements coupled with employment growth could drive the unemployment rate down to 2 or 3 percent, the levels found during the labor force shortages of the late 1990s." (page 9)Projections of High School Graduates: Implications for Baccalaureate Degree Production and Workforce Growth PDF 159 KB, (2004), Minnesota Private College Research Foundation
High school graduate “projections suggest that if present trends continue, by 2010 Minnesota will not be producing enough college graduates to meet to the total workforce demands of replacing retirees and filling new positions. And by 2015, the state will not be producing enough graduates even to replace the retirees, with no room for economic growth whatsoever.”But, what about tomorrow? PDF 250 KB, presentation given to the Minnesota Planning Association on the effects of an aging population, September 20, 2006
The Age Divide: Generations in the Workplace (April 2006), Minnesota Economic Trends, Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development
Ultimately, the question of whether there will be enough people to fill the jobs of the future comes down to numbers….Population projections reveal that in 17 counties in Minnesota more than 25 percent of the population is 60 or older in 2005….Minnesota had three counties—Traverse, Lincoln, and Big Stone— that ranked in the top 100 counties nationwide with the highest percent of population 65 years and older in 2000.
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